Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 17.606031 20.499404 23.668330 27.389783 31.633215 36.313682 41.859638
2024-10-20 12.385431 16.201266 20.824563 26.805448 34.300981 43.344171 55.036682
2024-10-27 9.044499 13.004747 18.208525 25.474583 35.272719 47.929824 65.402202
2024-11-03 7.826402 12.143423 18.195077 27.167981 39.974610 57.405635 82.689101
2024-11-10 7.083011 11.734213 18.624633 29.372516 45.456952 68.315010 102.840861
2024-11-17 6.035851 10.646116 17.843673 29.618580 48.034369 75.267989 117.955411
2024-11-24 5.071377 9.496719 16.757934 29.180816 49.423850 80.479133 130.837005
2024-12-01 4.220203 8.374534 15.525190 28.292292 49.918687 84.257943 141.728444
2024-12-08 3.659959 7.662095 14.859822 28.219470 51.654931 90.031178 156.089436
2024-12-15 3.232372 7.118391 14.401664 28.418423 53.815676 96.599893 172.164108
2024-12-22 2.639404 6.142864 13.009666 26.749940 52.522288 97.263913 178.459251
2024-12-29 2.425266 5.905926 12.981191 27.591453 55.766886 105.867930 198.769043
2025-01-05 2.262688 5.777940 13.200199 29.035054 60.456935 117.719648 226.256678
2025-01-12 1.925684 5.200950 12.431720 28.455221 61.319491 122.925640 242.664707
2025-01-19 1.578909 4.525177 11.341636 27.057213 60.410943 124.775848 253.131214
2025-01-26 1.509090 4.520076 11.731368 28.846753 66.086582 139.476255 288.561560
2025-02-02 1.476154 4.603970 12.335208 31.174092 73.094721 157.282606 331.159065
2025-02-09 1.321701 4.327245 12.041190 31.433838 75.744408 166.724410 358.302158
2025-02-16 1.149933 3.962516 11.471474 30.971854 76.765280 172.956612 379.566078
2025-02-23 0.980690 3.563976 10.747362 30.034035 76.607222 176.722583 396.111086
2025-03-02 0.870936 3.322143 10.393839 29.957166 78.390026 184.661435 421.704091
2025-03-09 0.785380 3.137812 10.166231 30.167174 80.856103 194.233070 451.336871
2025-03-16 0.644618 2.729281 9.234807 28.405749 78.408517 192.906025 457.826825